Nuclear watchdogs are now in agreement that Iran has the technical ability to make a nuclear weapon and are not far off from being able to deliver it with missile. At least our missile shield in Eastern Europe is almost ready ... or not (Berman Post: Obama Scraps Eastern European Missile Defense Shield). It is not clear on the exact time frame which the bomb will be ready in if they are not stopped. Having the ability does not mean they have created it yet. I have no doubt they are working on it, so the above point remains (that it is a bad idea to scrap the missile shield).
"Experts at the world's top atomic watchdog are in agreement that Tehran has the ability to make a nuclear bomb and is on the way to developing a missile system able to carry an atomic warhead, according to a secret report seen by The Associated Press.
The document drafted by senior officials at the International Atomic Energy Agency is the clearest indication yet that the agency's leaders share Washington's views on Iran's weapon-making capabilities.
The document says Iran has "sufficient information" to build a bomb. It says Iran is likely to "overcome problems" on developing a delivery system."
More at http://www.riehlworldview.com/carnivorous_conservative/2009/09/audacious-obama-will-be-thought-worse-than-carter.html.